Statistics of Price Movements of Kinsale Capital Group Inc (KNSL)

The price movements of Kinsale Capital Group Inc (ticker KNSL) are summarized in five ways:

• Table 1. Statistics of daily price changes using the closing prices
• Table 2. Statistics of daily price changes using the closing and opening prices
• Table 3 – 7. Statistics of daily price changes when KNSL opened with an increase of 1%, 2%, 3%, 4%, or more than 5%
• Table 8 – 10. Statistics of stock price changes in the 20 days after KNSL had a big price move
• Table 11. Statistics of daily price changes in the 20 days after KNSL moved 5% with twice the 30-day average volume

The statistics are calculated using KNSL's price data across 1,137 trading days from 2016 to 2020.

Table 1. Statistics of KNSL one-day price changes

In this table, the one-day price change is calculated using the closing price and the previous day's closing price.

In the past 1,137 trading days, 54.2% of the time (616 days), KNSL closed above the previous day's closing price. 41.7% of the time (474 days), it closed below the previous day's closing price. 4.0% of the time (46 days), it did not change.

Also see: VIX price movement study.

KNSL Price Change (%)	Number of Days	% of Total Sessions
17 – 18%	1	0.09%
16 – 17%	1	0.09%
10 – 11%	5	0.44%
9 – 10%	1	0.09%
8 – 9%	3	0.26%
7 – 8%	1	0.09%
6 – 7%	4	0.35%
5 – 6%	11	0.97%
4 – 5%	13	1.14%
3 – 4%	40	3.52%
2 – 3%	94	8.27%
1 – 2%	188	16.55%
0 – 1%	254	22.36%
0%	46	4.05%
0 – -1%	216	19.01%
-1 – -2%	129	11.36%
-2 – -3%	81	7.13%
-3 – -4%	21	1.85%
-4 – -5%	14	1.23%
-5 – -6%	3	0.26%
-6 – -7%	1	0.09%
-7 – -8%	3	0.26%
-9 – -10%	2	0.18%
-11 – -12%	1	0.09%
-12 – -13%	2	0.18%
-19 – -20%	1	0.09%

Table 2. Statistics of KNSL: Closing vs. Open

In this table, instead of using the closing price of the previous day, the opening price is used to calculate the one-day price change of KNSL.

51.8% of the time (589 days), KNSL closed above the opening price. 44.2% of the time (503 days), it closed below the opening price. 4.0% of the time (45 days), it closed where it started.

Closing - Open (%)	Number of Days	% of Total Sessions
15 – 16%	1	0.09%
13 – 14%	1	0.09%
12 – 13%	1	0.09%
10 – 11%	1	0.09%
9 – 10%	1	0.09%
7 – 8%	3	0.26%
6 – 7%	4	0.35%
5 – 6%	9	0.79%
4 – 5%	15	1.32%
3 – 4%	31	2.73%
2 – 3%	103	9.06%
1 – 2%	166	14.60%
0 – 1%	253	22.25%
0%	45	3.96%
0 – -1%	233	20.49%
-1 – -2%	137	12.05%
-2 – -3%	87	7.65%
-3 – -4%	20	1.76%
-4 – -5%	11	0.97%
-5 – -6%	9	0.79%
-6 – -7%	2	0.18%
-9 – -10%	2	0.18%
-10 – -11%	1	0.09%
-12 – -13%	1	0.09%

Table 3. One-day performance when KNSL opened 5% higher than previous close

In the past 1,137 trading days, KNSL opened more than 5% higher than the previous day's closing price 3 times. Of these days, 66.7% (2 days) had closing prices above the opening price, and 33.3% (1 days) had closing prices below the opening price.

Closing - Open (%)	Number of Days	% of Total Sessions
0 – 1%	2	66.67%
-5 – -6%	1	33.33%

Table 4. Closing vs. open when KNSL opened 4–5% higher

On 3 days, KNSL opened 4–5% higher than the previous day's closing price. Of these days, 66.7% (2 days) had closing prices above the opening price, and 33.3% (1 days) had closing prices below the opening price.

Closing - Open (%)	Number of Days	% of Total Sessions
3 – 4%	1	33.33%
2 – 3%	1	33.33%
0 – -1%	1	33.33%

Table 5. Closing vs. open when KNSL open 3 – 4% higher

9 times KNSL opened 3 – 4% higher than the previous day's closing price. Among these days, 33.3% (3 days) closed above the opening price, 66.7% (6 days) closed below the opening price.

Closing - Open (%)	Number of Days	% of Total Sessions
2 – 3%	1	11.11%
0 – 1%	2	22.22%
0 – -1%	1	11.11%
-1 – -2%	1	11.11%
-2 – -3%	2	22.22%
-3 – -4%	1	11.11%
-4 – -5%	1	11.11%

Table 6. Closing vs. open when KNSL open 2 – 3% higher

16 times KNSL opened 2 – 3% higher than the previous day's closing price. Among these days, 43.8% (7 days) closed above the opening price, 56.3% (9 days) closed below the opening price.

Closing - Open (%)	Number of Days	% of Total Sessions
12 – 13%	1	6.25%
7 – 8%	1	6.25%
6 – 7%	1	6.25%
2 – 3%	1	6.25%
1 – 2%	1	6.25%
0 – 1%	2	12.50%
0 – -1%	5	31.25%
-2 – -3%	2	12.50%
-5 – -6%	2	12.50%

Table 7. Closing vs. open when KNSL open 1 – 2% higher

77 times KNSL opened 1 – 2% higher than the previous day's closing price. Among these days, 42.9% (33 days) closed above the opening price, 57.1% (44 days) closed below the opening price.

Closing - Open (%)	Number of Days	% of Total Sessions
15 – 16%	1	1.30%
6 – 7%	1	1.30%
5 – 6%	1	1.30%
4 – 5%	3	3.90%
3 – 4%	3	3.90%
2 – 3%	4	5.19%
1 – 2%	8	10.39%
0 – 1%	12	15.58%
0 – -1%	15	19.48%
-1 – -2%	11	14.29%
-2 – -3%	8	10.39%
-3 – -4%	5	6.49%
-4 – -5%	1	1.30%
-5 – -6%	2	2.60%
-6 – -7%	1	1.30%
-9 – -10%	1	1.30%

Table 8. Periods when KNSL moved 15% or more

In this table, we track the price movements in the 20 days after KNSL had a one-day price change of at least 15%.

Date	Price Change	Price Change after 15% Move
Days after:		1	4	7	10	13	16	19
20200731	17.4%	.4	5.9	1.3	1.0	3.2	4.5	7.0
20200317	16%	-4.7	-10.5	4.8	6.8	1.7	9.9	11.2
20200316	-19.3%	16.1	2.4	10.0	26.9	20.9	28.0	34.0

Table 8a. KNSL average price changes following a 15% up day

Of the 1,137 trading days from 2016 to 2020, there were 2 days in which KNSL was up more than 15%. This table shows the average price changes over the 2 days.

Average Type	Average Price Change
Days after:	1	4	7	10	13	16	19
Avg for Change ≥ 15%	-2.2	-2.3	3.0	3.9	2.5	7.2	9.1

Table 8b. KNSL average price changes following a 15% down day

Of the 1,137 trading days from 2016 to 2020, there were 1 days in which KNSL was down more than -15%. This table shows the average price changes over the 1 days.

Average Type	Average Price Change
Days after:	1	4	7	10	13	16	19
Avg for Change ≥ -15%	16.1	2.4	10.0	26.9	20.9	28.0	34.0

Table 9. Periods when KNSL moved 10% or more

In this table, we track the price movements in the 20 days after KNSL had a one-day price change of at least 10%.

Date	Price Change	Price Change after 10% Move
Days after:		1	4	7	10	13	16	19
20200731	17.4%	.4	5.9	1.3	1.0	3.2	4.5	7.0
20200317	16%	-4.7	-10.5	4.8	6.8	1.7	9.9	11.2
20191113	10.9%	-1.8	-3.1	-3.5	2.5	3.4	-1.4	-2.7
20200326	10.5%	-3.6	-2.5	4.8	10.1	10.2	11.1	3.3
20190503	10.3%	-.0	-1.3	.4	3.9	3.4	4.3	2.5
20200505	10.2%	.5	5.2	1.5	6.7	16.8	17.8	17.3
20200501	10.1%	-2.6	9.8	10.2	11.2	19.2	25.4	23.8
20191101	-11.3%	-7.8	-8.2	-5.0	1.4	2.4	5.4	8.0
20200320	-12.2%	1.4	18.8	21.0	15.2	24.6	26.0	27.1
20200312	-12.6%	4.2	-7.0	-12.7	2.2	4.2	-.8	7.2
20200316	-19.3%	16.1	2.4	10.0	26.9	20.9	28.0	34.0

Table 9a. KNSL average price changes following a 10% up day

Of the 1,137 trading days from 2016 to 2020, there were 7 days in which KNSL was up more than 10%. This table shows the average price changes over the 7 days.

Average Type	Average Price Change
Days after:	1	4	7	10	13	16	19
Avg for Change ≥ 10%	-1.7	.5	2.8	6.0	8.3	10.2	8.9

Table 9b. KNSL average price changes following a 10% down day

Of the 1,137 trading days from 2016 to 2020, there were 4 days in which KNSL was down more than -10%. This table shows the average price changes over the 4 days.

Average Type	Average Price Change
Days after:	1	4	7	10	13	16	19
Avg for Change ≥ -10%	3.5	1.5	3.3	11.4	13.0	14.7	19.1

Table 10. Periods when KNSL moved 5% or more

In this table, we track the price movements in the 20 days after KNSL had a one-day price change of at least 5%.

Date	Price Change	Price Change after 5% Move
Days after:		1	4	7	10	13	16	19
20200731	17.4%	.4	5.9	1.3	1.0	3.2	4.5	7.0
20200317	16%	-4.7	-10.5	4.8	6.8	1.7	9.9	11.2
20191113	10.9%	-1.8	-3.1	-3.5	2.5	3.4	-1.4	-2.7
20200326	10.5%	-3.6	-2.5	4.8	10.1	10.2	11.1	3.3
20190503	10.3%	-.0	-1.3	.4	3.9	3.4	4.3	2.5
20200505	10.2%	.5	5.2	1.5	6.7	16.8	17.8	17.3
20200501	10.1%	-2.6	9.8	10.2	11.2	19.2	25.4	23.8
20170804	9.4%	1.7	-3.1	-6.3	-10.3	-7.3	-9.4	-8.1
20200324	8.2%	-2.2	12.8	7.5	13.8	19.1	13.9	19.5
20200330	8.2%	-2.4	-7.0	.5	1.6	2.5	3.3	-3.1
20200406	8%	.4	5.1	.5	5.4	-1.5	3.6	11.3
20190222	7.1%	-.8	1.0	1.0	1.0	3.3	4.7	4.1
20200805	6.9%	-.7	-5.1	-5.3	-3.2	-2.0	.3	1.0
20200302	6.5%	-.4	-3.0	-11.2	-34.8	-23.9	-26.7	-23.6
20201109	6.4%	3.0	.7	10.2	9.8	12.8	15.1	15.6
20161111	6%	2.3	-.6	5.8	7.2	6.2	5.0	12.0
20201102	5.8%	6.5	6.1	17.2	17.1	20.2	21.0	19.1
20170908	5.7%	3.2	8.3	11.4	14.2	15.9	16.5	14.8
20200429	5.7%	-7.7	9.2	15.3	11.4	18.2	22.9	26.2
20180628	5.5%	1.2	1.5	1.8	1.0	2.7	6.8	8.4
20200319	5.4%	-12.2	-5.7	8.8	3.6	9.7	14.8	9.8
20161031	5.3%	-3.4	-.0	.2	14.3	11.0	18.2	19.7
20170206	5.2%	5.0	.3	-1.0	.2	.9	-1.0	6.3
20201116	5.1%
20161110	5%	6.0	2.9	10.5	13.3	10.4	7.5	18.0
20170207	5%	-3.9	-5.3	-5.3	-4.5	-4.0	-3.0	-1.1
20200409	5%	.0	-4.4	.3	-6.3	-1.5	5.9	14.3
20200904	-5.2%	1.2	-.4	.9	-6.4	-7.9	-1.3	3.8
20191223	-5.3%	1.8	2.9	3.9	9.2	9.2	8.2	11.6
20201112	-5.5%	1.1	10.6	10.2	13.3	15.5	16.1	11.1
20180205	-6%	.3	2.2	6.3	9.5	7.3	9.5	11.8
20171009	-7.1%	1.5	5.8	7.6	9.5	9.6	7.9	11.7
20200430	-7.6%	10.1	18.9	24.4	20.1	26.2	38.1	39.4
20191104	-7.8%	-1.0	1.3	14.4	8.6	10.9	16.7	17.3
20200309	-9%	4.1	-8.4	-18.3	-23.2	-10.1	-8.4	-12.8
20201030	-9.9%	5.8	18.8	19.3	24.1	26.1	28.4	28.9
20191101	-11.3%	-7.8	-8.2	-5.0	1.4	2.4	5.4	8.0
20200320	-12.2%	1.4	18.8	21.0	15.2	24.6	26.0	27.1
20200312	-12.6%	4.2	-7.0	-12.7	2.2	4.2	-.8	7.2
20200316	-19.3%	16.1	2.4	10.0	26.9	20.9	28.0	34.0

Table 10a. KNSL average price changes following a 5% up day

Of the 1,137 trading days from 2016 to 2020, there were 27 days in which KNSL was up more than 5%. This table shows the average price changes over the 27 days.

Average Type	Average Price Change
Days after:	1	4	7	10	13	16	19
Avg for Change ≥ 5%	-.4	.8	3.3	3.9	5.8	7.3	8.6

Table 10b. KNSL average price changes following a 5% down day

Of the 1,137 trading days from 2016 to 2020, there were 13 days in which KNSL was down more than -5%. This table shows the average price changes over the 13 days.

Average Type	Average Price Change
Days after:	1	4	7	10	13	16	19
Avg for Change ≥ -5%	3.0	4.4	6.3	8.5	10.7	13.4	15.3

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Also see: VIX price movement study.