Statistics of Price Movements of Freshpet Inc CS (FRPT)

The price movements of Freshpet Inc CS (ticker FRPT) are summarized in five ways:

• Table 1. Statistics of daily price changes using the closing prices
• Table 2. Statistics of daily price changes using the closing and opening prices
• Table 3 – 7. Statistics of daily price changes when FRPT opened with an increase of 1%, 2%, 3%, 4%, or more than 5%
• Table 8 – 10. Statistics of stock price changes in the 20 days after FRPT had a big price move
• Table 11. Statistics of daily price changes in the 20 days after FRPT moved 5% with twice the 30-day average volume

The statistics are calculated using FRPT's price data across 1,547 trading days from 2015 to 2020.

Table 1. Statistics of FRPT one-day price changes

In this table, the one-day price change is calculated using the closing price and the previous day's closing price.

In the past 1,547 trading days, 50.3% of the time (777 days), FRPT closed above the previous day's closing price. 43.1% of the time (666 days), it closed below the previous day's closing price. 6.7% of the time (103 days), it did not change.

Also see: VIX price movement study.

FRPT Price Change (%)	Number of Days	% of Total Sessions
28 – 29%	1	0.06%
19 – 20%	1	0.06%
12 – 13%	1	0.06%
11 – 12%	1	0.06%
10 – 11%	7	0.45%
9 – 10%	5	0.32%
8 – 9%	3	0.19%
7 – 8%	10	0.65%
6 – 7%	11	0.71%
5 – 6%	30	1.94%
4 – 5%	44	2.85%
3 – 4%	84	5.43%
2 – 3%	131	8.47%
1 – 2%	198	12.81%
0 – 1%	250	16.17%
0%	103	6.66%
0 – -1%	235	15.20%
-1 – -2%	163	10.54%
-2 – -3%	109	7.05%
-3 – -4%	64	4.14%
-4 – -5%	42	2.72%
-5 – -6%	19	1.23%
-6 – -7%	9	0.58%
-7 – -8%	5	0.32%
-8 – -9%	6	0.39%
-9 – -10%	6	0.39%
-10 – -11%	2	0.13%
-11 – -12%	1	0.06%
-13 – -14%	1	0.06%
-14 – -15%	1	0.06%
-16 – -17%	1	0.06%
-24 – -25%	1	0.06%
-25 – -26%	1	0.06%

Table 2. Statistics of FRPT: Closing vs. Open

In this table, instead of using the closing price of the previous day, the opening price is used to calculate the one-day price change of FRPT.

49.4% of the time (764 days), FRPT closed above the opening price. 44.0% of the time (680 days), it closed below the opening price. 6.7% of the time (103 days), it closed where it started.

Closing - Open (%)	Number of Days	% of Total Sessions
17 – 18%	1	0.06%
16 – 17%	1	0.06%
13 – 14%	1	0.06%
12 – 13%	1	0.06%
11 – 12%	1	0.06%
10 – 11%	5	0.32%
9 – 10%	2	0.13%
8 – 9%	7	0.45%
7 – 8%	8	0.52%
6 – 7%	5	0.32%
5 – 6%	23	1.49%
4 – 5%	41	2.65%
3 – 4%	76	4.91%
2 – 3%	123	7.95%
1 – 2%	217	14.03%
0 – 1%	252	16.29%
0%	103	6.66%
0 – -1%	226	14.61%
-1 – -2%	189	12.22%
-2 – -3%	113	7.30%
-3 – -4%	62	4.01%
-4 – -5%	35	2.26%
-5 – -6%	21	1.36%
-6 – -7%	15	0.97%
-7 – -8%	5	0.32%
-8 – -9%	3	0.19%
-9 – -10%	5	0.32%
-10 – -11%	3	0.19%
-11 – -12%	2	0.13%
-16 – -17%	1	0.06%

Table 3. One-day performance when FRPT opened 5% higher than previous close

In the past 1,547 trading days, FRPT opened more than 5% higher than the previous day's closing price 15 times. Of these days, 33.3% (5 days) had closing prices above the opening price, and 66.7% (10 days) had closing prices below the opening price.

Closing - Open (%)	Number of Days	% of Total Sessions
9 – 10%	1	6.67%
5 – 6%	1	6.67%
3 – 4%	1	6.67%
1 – 2%	2	13.33%
0 – -1%	2	13.33%
-2 – -3%	5	33.33%
-4 – -5%	1	6.67%
-5 – -6%	1	6.67%
-10 – -11%	1	6.67%

Table 4. Closing vs. open when FRPT opened 4–5% higher

On 6 days, FRPT opened 4–5% higher than the previous day's closing price. Of these days, 50.0% (3 days) had closing prices above the opening price, and 50.0% (3 days) had closing prices below the opening price.

Closing - Open (%)	Number of Days	% of Total Sessions
3 – 4%	1	16.67%
2 – 3%	1	16.67%
0 – 1%	1	16.67%
-3 – -4%	1	16.67%
-5 – -6%	1	16.67%
-7 – -8%	1	16.67%

Table 5. Closing vs. open when FRPT open 3 – 4% higher

12 times FRPT opened 3 – 4% higher than the previous day's closing price. Among these days, 41.7% (5 days) closed above the opening price, 58.3% (7 days) closed below the opening price.

Closing - Open (%)	Number of Days	% of Total Sessions
8 – 9%	1	8.33%
6 – 7%	1	8.33%
1 – 2%	1	8.33%
0 – 1%	2	16.67%
-1 – -2%	1	8.33%
-2 – -3%	1	8.33%
-3 – -4%	3	25.00%
-4 – -5%	2	16.67%

Table 6. Closing vs. open when FRPT open 2 – 3% higher

27 times FRPT opened 2 – 3% higher than the previous day's closing price. Among these days, 37.0% (10 days) closed above the opening price, 63.0% (17 days) closed below the opening price.

Closing - Open (%)	Number of Days	% of Total Sessions
16 – 17%	1	3.70%
7 – 8%	1	3.70%
4 – 5%	1	3.70%
3 – 4%	1	3.70%
2 – 3%	1	3.70%
1 – 2%	3	11.11%
0 – 1%	2	7.41%
0 – -1%	2	7.41%
-1 – -2%	6	22.22%
-3 – -4%	3	11.11%
-5 – -6%	3	11.11%
-9 – -10%	2	7.41%
-10 – -11%	1	3.70%

Table 7. Closing vs. open when FRPT open 1 – 2% higher

99 times FRPT opened 1 – 2% higher than the previous day's closing price. Among these days, 50.5% (50 days) closed above the opening price, 47.5% (47 days) closed below the opening price.

Closing - Open (%)	Number of Days	% of Total Sessions
8 – 9%	1	1.01%
7 – 8%	2	2.02%
5 – 6%	1	1.01%
4 – 5%	4	4.04%
3 – 4%	7	7.07%
2 – 3%	11	11.11%
1 – 2%	11	11.11%
0 – 1%	13	13.13%
0%	2	2.02%
0 – -1%	14	14.14%
-1 – -2%	9	9.09%
-2 – -3%	11	11.11%
-3 – -4%	5	5.05%
-4 – -5%	3	3.03%
-5 – -6%	2	2.02%
-6 – -7%	3	3.03%

Table 8. Periods when FRPT moved 15% or more

In this table, we track the price movements in the 20 days after FRPT had a one-day price change of at least 15%.

Date	Price Change	Price Change after 15% Move
Days after:		1	4	7	10	13	16	19
20160805	28.3%	2.4	.9	-3.0	-1.9	-2.8	-2.5	-.8
20200317	19.4%	-16.1	3.0	21.3	22.1	14.1	31.4	20.9
20200318	-16%	10.9	34.8	34.3	38.4	50.8	44.2	51.7
20151112	-24.9%	.0	.2	12.6	32.6	27.1	11.5	15.9
20200316	-25.9%	19.4	19.5	31.9	46.3	43.2	49.2	44.6

Table 8a. FRPT average price changes following a 15% up day

Of the 1,547 trading days from 2015 to 2020, there were 2 days in which FRPT was up more than 15%. This table shows the average price changes over the 2 days.

Average Type	Average Price Change
Days after:	1	4	7	10	13	16	19
Avg for Change ≥ 15%	-6.9	2.0	9.2	10.1	5.6	14.5	10.0

Table 8b. FRPT average price changes following a 15% down day

Of the 1,547 trading days from 2015 to 2020, there were 3 days in which FRPT was down more than -15%. This table shows the average price changes over the 3 days.

Average Type	Average Price Change
Days after:	1	4	7	10	13	16	19
Avg for Change ≥ -15%	10.1	18.1	26.3	39.1	40.4	35.0	37.4

Table 9. Periods when FRPT moved 10% or more

In this table, we track the price movements in the 20 days after FRPT had a one-day price change of at least 10%.

Date	Price Change	Price Change after 10% Move
Days after:		1	4	7	10	13	16	19
20160805	28.3%	2.4	.9	-3.0	-1.9	-2.8	-2.5	-.8
20200317	19.4%	-16.1	3.0	21.3	22.1	14.1	31.4	20.9
20200313	12.5%	-25.9	-17.6	.1	-.3	2.8	12.0	7.1
20170310	11.6%	1.8	2.3	-4.1	.0	2.7	.0	1.4
20151125	10.9%	.0	-4.2	-16.0	-12.6	-9.8	-2.5	2.0
20200319	10.9%	7.5	18.7	31.6	28.8	34.3	30.0	37.0
20200406	10.9%	-1.3	-4.4	.8	10.4	14.1	10.8	10.0
20160310	10.7%	-8.7	-8.1	-1.5	-8.3	-6.3	-3.7	-9.4
20151210	10.5%	-4.5	1.5	2.7	10.4	9.3	5.5	.9
20160216	10%	-1.0	.3	-4.4	-4.4	2.7	.4	4.9
20180406	10%	1.7	-.3	6.6	7.2	9.7	9.7	9.1
20180306	-10%	-3.4	-2.7	-2.4	-5.7	-10.5	-11.6	-13.8
20200309	-10.5%	.9	-6.9	-30.9	-15.1	-.0	.6	-6.0
20181220	-11.3%	-6.7	-2.6	1.0	.2	12.4	8.5	17.4
20190806	-13.4%	7.6	8.2	10.9	13.2	20.1	28.7	33.7
20200312	-14.2%	12.6	-16.4	2.6	20.9	21.7	13.7	30.9
20200318	-16%	10.9	34.8	34.3	38.4	50.8	44.2	51.7
20151112	-24.9%	.0	.2	12.6	32.6	27.1	11.5	15.9
20200316	-25.9%	19.4	19.5	31.9	46.3	43.2	49.2	44.6

Table 9a. FRPT average price changes following a 10% up day

Of the 1,547 trading days from 2015 to 2020, there were 11 days in which FRPT was up more than 10%. This table shows the average price changes over the 11 days.

Average Type	Average Price Change
Days after:	1	4	7	10	13	16	19
Avg for Change ≥ 10%	-4.0	-.7	3.1	4.7	6.4	8.3	7.5

Table 9b. FRPT average price changes following a 10% down day

Of the 1,547 trading days from 2015 to 2020, there were 8 days in which FRPT was down more than -10%. This table shows the average price changes over the 8 days.

Average Type	Average Price Change
Days after:	1	4	7	10	13	16	19
Avg for Change ≥ -10%	5.2	4.2	7.5	16.3	20.6	18.1	21.8

Table 10. Periods when FRPT moved 5% or more

In this table, we track the price movements in the 20 days after FRPT had a one-day price change of at least 5%.

Date	Price Change	Price Change after 5% Move
Days after:		1	4	7	10	13	16	19
20160805	28.3%	2.4	.9	-3.0	-1.9	-2.8	-2.5	-.8
20200317	19.4%	-16.1	3.0	21.3	22.1	14.1	31.4	20.9
20200313	12.5%	-25.9	-17.6	.1	-.3	2.8	12.0	7.1
20170310	11.6%	1.8	2.3	-4.1	.0	2.7	.0	1.4
20151125	10.9%	.0	-4.2	-16.0	-12.6	-9.8	-2.5	2.0
20200319	10.9%	7.5	18.7	31.6	28.8	34.3	30.0	37.0
20200406	10.9%	-1.3	-4.4	.8	10.4	14.1	10.8	10.0
20160310	10.7%	-8.7	-8.1	-1.5	-8.3	-6.3	-3.7	-9.4
20151210	10.5%	-4.5	1.5	2.7	10.4	9.3	5.5	.9
20160216	10%	-1.0	.3	-4.4	-4.4	2.7	.4	4.9
20180406	10%	1.7	-.3	6.6	7.2	9.7	9.7	9.1
20170505	9.9%	5.3	4.9	6.0	4.5	10.2	13.5	20.3
20200324	9.8%	-2.4	8.3	6.0	10.4	7.0	12.7	23.5
20200326	9.8%	-7.1	-4.3	4.3	-.3	4.9	11.9	18.7
20200601	9.4%	-4.6	-5.3	-3.7	-1.6	1.6	3.7	-5.0
20200527	9.2%	-2.4	4.0	3.3	4.9	7.2	10.7	13.0
20181226	8.8%	2.5	3.8	10.9	16.1	12.8	24.9	20.0
20200330	8.6%	-.3	-6.9	7.3	-1.3	9.2	12.3	18.7
20150707	8.1%	-2.5	4.1	12.8	5.8	-4.9	-5.3	-5.7
20150408	7.9%	5.0	-2.3	-1.2	-6.0	-4.0	-10.6	-6.6
20171107	7.9%	1.8	1.0	7.4	6.2	5.6	11.5	11.8
20180808	7.9%	-1.5	1.0	1.5	5.0	4.1	6.5	10.4
20190104	7.8%	3.3	2.4	7.6	11.6	9.3	4.3	4.7
20150402	7.6%	.0	10.9	10.4	9.2	7.0	4.6	-1.8
20190807	7.6%	-.2	5.9	4.2	10.6	15.3	21.2	22.6
20180807	7.5%	8.0	7.0	9.7	12.9	13.6	14.4	18.7
20200320	7.4%	3.0	21.3	22.1	14.1	31.4	20.9	33.7
20200505	7.3%	-2.8	-3.1	-8.5	-5.6	-7.7	.6	9.7
20170615	7%	-4.8	-6.3	-6.6	-4.2	-2.1	-3.9	-3.3
20180509	6.8%	2.7	1.0	6.6	6.4	9.3	11.8	13.2
20161102	6.7%	-5.1	-4.6	.0	-.6	.6	7.4	3.4
20180223	6.7%	1.0	2.8	-6.3	-8.4	-7.3	-9.9	-17.0
20160708	6.6%	.8	3.0	.6	-.8	-12.3	-12.2	-18.2
20200605	6.6%	2.6	-2.6	4.0	6.3	8.4	1.9	10.6
20150615	6.4%	.5	7.4	8.9	.7	-11.6	-8.1	-6.2
20151124	6.2%	10.9	14.6	-6.9	-6.0	2.4	8.8	10.1
20170522	6.1%	1.0	2.4	3.1	6.1	3.7	2.7	7.8
20181108	6.1%	-2.0	-5.1	-10.0	-11.9	-12.2	-10.6	-13.8
20181212	6.1%	.8	.9	-14.1	-10.3	-6.9	-7.7	3.6
20200429	6.1%	-3.2	-1.1	-5.5	-10.0	-5.6	-9.0	-8.9
20150108	5.7%	2.2	-4.9	-13.7	-18.4	-16.3	-7.9	-4.5
20150223	5.7%	2.6	7.9	1.6	9.8	1.3	9.3	7.2
20150316	5.7%	3.8	1.8	3.9	11.5	21.6	24.9	34.0
20161216	5.7%	-1.5	-3.4	-1.0	.0	3.4	-1.5	-.5
20190115	5.7%	1.1	3.7	-2.5	-1.8	-2.8	-.6	1.1
20201111	5.7%	.2	6.6	6.0	2.4	6.9	3.8	9.8
20160701	5.6%	.0	-4.0	5.6	5.1	1.7	-5.9	-10.1
20150107	5.5%	5.8	3.0	-8.7	-13.4	-12.3	-4.2	-1.5
20171116	5.5%	-.5	-2.5	.5	4.4	3.3	4.7	4.7
20180102	5.5%	-4.7	-7.2	-6.5	-7.0	-6.8	-7.2	-6.2
20181016	5.4%	-1.2	.2	-5.5	-.1	-7.8	-11.0	-7.0
20150519	5.3%	-.1	-2.2	-2.2	-7.4	-8.7	-9.1	-6.4
20190813	5.3%	-3.5	-.6	5.0	9.9	17.3	16.2	19.9
20191105	5.3%	3.7	7.0	6.8	5.5	3.9	6.0	2.1
20200414	5.3%	.2	9.8	13.4	10.2	9.3	12.4	12.1
20150813	5.2%	1.1	-3.1	-10.2	-12.2	-11.1	-13.7	-15.7
20170508	5.2%	.7	-.4	-2.1	5.4	6.8	6.8	13.2
20170601	5.2%	-.9	-3.1	-4.7	4.4	-4.4	3.8	.6
20201109	5.2%	-2.9	3.5	8.5	10.1	5.1	8.4	8.2
20160506	5.1%	1.3	1.0	-.8	.7	1.3	10.8	5.0
20190821	5.1%	.6	5.4	12.4	11.4	14.9	15.5	18.1
20200408	5.1%	-7.9	-3.1	3.3	9.6	12.4	9.8	12.1
20150309	5%	-6.6	-9.3	.0	.6	.9	3.6	16.6
20150409	5%	-5.4	-5.6	-10.1	-10.8	-10.1	-10.6	-14.5
20150501	5%	4.3	-6.5	-12.1	-15.8	-11.2	-13.0	-13.1
20160418	5%	-4.3	.9	5.7	8.0	9.7	20.8	12.5
20180501	5%	-2.6	-4.8	.7	-1.0	4.6	4.3	7.2
20180626	5%	-.2	7.8	12.8	6.7	11.3	10.1	11.3
20200214	5%	.0	5.6	2.2	-8.2	3.1	-12.3	-27.5
20200615	5%	.2	2.3	4.4	-1.8	6.6	4.3	3.6
20150925	-5%	2.4	-4.1	-8.0	-.8	-4.2	-.9	3.9
20190805	-5%	-13.4	-6.4	-4.7	-1.9	3.6	8.5	15.7
20200811	-5%	3.7	11.0	16.2	14.7	13.4	15.3	7.1
20160909	-5.1%	-.5	1.2	-7.0	-7.4	-7.1	-12.2	-13.1
20161103	-5.1%	-2.4	4.2	4.8	9.0	9.6	6.6	11.4
20190621	-5.1%	-.7	-5.3	-5.9	-4.5	-2.6	-4.7	-5.3
20201209	-5.1%
20190322	-5.2%	3.5	4.4	1.4	-1.2	2.6	.5	1.4
20150410	-5.3%	.2	-.9	-2.9	-5.1	-10.9	-1.4	-11.6
20171003	-5.3%	-1.0	3.0	9.6	5.6	3.3	4.7	3.3
20181113	-5.4%	1.9	-3.3	-5.3	-5.7	-4.0	-7.4	-8.4
20191104	-5.4%	5.3	13.2	13.3	11.5	10.4	11.5	10.0
20150115	-5.5%	-4.0	-8.9	-7.7	.8	3.7	11.9	13.3
20170228	-5.6%	-1.0	-4.0	-2.5	11.4	13.4	8.4	12.9
20161125	-5.8%	-.6	1.1	5.6	11.3	6.2	13.0	10.7
20170321	-5.8%	3.8	8.1	2.8	3.3	4.7	5.2	7.6
20150702	-5.9%	.0	1.4	8.2	17.3	10.0	-1.1	-1.5
20150812	-5.9%	5.2	3.6	-5.3	-9.7	-5.4	-8.4	-8.5
20160919	-5.9%	.9	.4	.8	-4.7	-5.7	-4.8	-3.2
20170626	-6%	-.6	6.4	3.8	-.3	3.8	10.3	12.2
20150429	-6.1%	1.0	5.4	-7.5	-8.8	-10.5	-7.7	-11.3
20151103	-6.2%	-.2	-.8	-31.9	-33.8	-25.9	-9.7	-6.6
20181119	-6.2%	-2.1	-1.0	-1.8	-2.8	-2.2	-2.1	2.9
20160323	-6.3%	.8	3.1	5.9	-.3	.1	2.4	4.5
20160531	-6.3%	-1.7	4.3	8.0	-1.2	.1	.9	-1.6
20150310	-6.5%	-.5	2.6	5.4	6.8	10.2	15.9	25.6
20150508	-6.6%	1.7	-1.1	1.9	-.4	-.8	-2.5	-9.4
20181221	-6.7%	-4.1	6.9	8.3	15.8	21.2	17.8	30.4
20200327	-7.1%	8.7	6.4	10.9	7.4	13.1	24.0	28.1
20150105	-7.3%	-2.7	11.0	3.3	-6.3	-11.3	-9.1	.1
20151201	-7.3%	-9.8	-11.9	.9	-2.1	3.1	7.9	9.1
20160725	-7.3%	-4.4	-5.8	-6.4	16.9	15.3	10.8	12.1
20200409	-7.8%	.0	5.4	15.5	19.3	15.9	15.0	18.2
20150811	-8%	-6.0	-.5	-8.8	-14.0	-10.5	-15.0	-14.6
20160125	-8.3%	2.0	-9.5	-9.3	-7.9	-2.9	6.9	3.2
20150720	-8.5%	1.3	-9.0	-9.3	-9.7	-7.5	-19.7	-19.7
20160127	-8.5%	-3.8	-4.2	-3.1	.8	4.1	14.9	9.5
20150724	-8.7%	-1.8	-.1	3.0	-1.4	-17.1	-12.3	-19.6
20160311	-8.7%	3.2	5.3	6.3	.4	4.1	2.9	-1.3
20150629	-9%	-2.5	-12.2	-11.0	-5.0	3.0	-3.4	-13.2
20200226	-9.3%	-1.0	7.6	5.8	-8.8	-34.7	-27.5	-11.8
20200626	-9.4%	1.7	10.3	8.0	7.3	11.9	12.7	10.0
20180907	-9.5%	3.8	8.4	4.5	1.3	8.6	6.7	-1.5
20151202	-9.7%	-2.9	-1.9	6.8	13.5	14.9	23.5	22.2
20160114	-9.8%	-1.1	-.4	-5.7	-15.4	-15.8	-14.8	-11.4
20180306	-10%	-3.4	-2.7	-2.4	-5.7	-10.5	-11.6	-13.8
20200309	-10.5%	.9	-6.9	-30.9	-15.1	-.0	.6	-6.0
20181220	-11.3%	-6.7	-2.6	1.0	.2	12.4	8.5	17.4
20190806	-13.4%	7.6	8.2	10.9	13.2	20.1	28.7	33.7
20200312	-14.2%	12.6	-16.4	2.6	20.9	21.7	13.7	30.9
20200318	-16%	10.9	34.8	34.3	38.4	50.8	44.2	51.7
20151112	-24.9%	.0	.2	12.6	32.6	27.1	11.5	15.9
20200316	-25.9%	19.4	19.5	31.9	46.3	43.2	49.2	44.6

Table 10a. FRPT average price changes following a 5% up day

Of the 1,547 trading days from 2015 to 2020, there were 70 days in which FRPT was up more than 5%. This table shows the average price changes over the 70 days.

Average Type	Average Price Change
Days after:	1	4	7	10	13	16	19
Avg for Change ≥ 5%	-.7	.9	1.7	1.9	3.0	4.3	5.2

Table 10b. FRPT average price changes following a 5% down day

Of the 1,547 trading days from 2015 to 2020, there were 53 days in which FRPT was down more than -5%. This table shows the average price changes over the 53 days.

Average Type	Average Price Change
Days after:	1	4	7	10	13	16	19
Avg for Change ≥ -5%	.4	1.5	1.5	2.8	3.7	4.5	5.4

28 stocks with statistics: AAPL, AMD, AMZN, APPN, AZN, BA, BAC, BIIB, CRM, CSCO, CX, DIS, FB, GE, GM, GOOG, IBM, INTC, JPM, JPM, MSFT, MU, NFLX, O, QQQ, SPY, T, TSLA,

Also see: VIX price movement study.