Statistics of Price Movements of Chicago Rivet & Machine Company (CVR)

The price movements of Chicago Rivet & Machine Company (ticker CVR) are summarized in five ways:

• Table 1. Statistics of daily price changes using the closing prices
• Table 2. Statistics of daily price changes using the closing and opening prices
• Table 3 – 7. Statistics of daily price changes when CVR opened with an increase of 1%, 2%, 3%, 4%, or more than 5%
• Table 8 – 10. Statistics of stock price changes in the 20 days after CVR had a big price move
• Table 11. Statistics of daily price changes in the 20 days after CVR moved 5% with twice the 30-day average volume

The statistics are calculated using CVR's price data across 1,551 trading days from 2015 to 2020.

Table 1. Statistics of CVR one-day price changes

In this table, the one-day price change is calculated using the closing price and the previous day's closing price.

In the past 1,551 trading days, 37.6% of the time (583 days), CVR closed above the previous day's closing price. 38.7% of the time (600 days), it closed below the previous day's closing price. 23.7% of the time (367 days), it did not change.

Also see: VIX price movement study.

CVR Price Change (%)	Number of Days	% of Total Sessions
13 – 14%	1	0.06%
12 – 13%	1	0.06%
11 – 12%	1	0.06%
10 – 11%	2	0.13%
8 – 9%	6	0.39%
7 – 8%	4	0.26%
6 – 7%	8	0.52%
5 – 6%	12	0.77%
4 – 5%	28	1.81%
3 – 4%	50	3.23%
2 – 3%	79	5.10%
1 – 2%	133	8.58%
0 – 1%	258	16.65%
0%	367	23.68%
0 – -1%	256	16.52%
-1 – -2%	161	10.39%
-2 – -3%	86	5.55%
-3 – -4%	34	2.19%
-4 – -5%	23	1.48%
-5 – -6%	17	1.10%
-6 – -7%	11	0.71%
-7 – -8%	8	0.52%
-8 – -9%	1	0.06%
-10 – -11%	2	0.13%
-12 – -13%	1	0.06%

Table 2. Statistics of CVR: Closing vs. Open

In this table, instead of using the closing price of the previous day, the opening price is used to calculate the one-day price change of CVR.

31.3% of the time (485 days), CVR closed above the opening price. 30.9% of the time (480 days), it closed below the opening price. 37.8% of the time (586 days), it closed where it started.

Closing - Open (%)	Number of Days	% of Total Sessions
19 – 20%	1	0.06%
13 – 14%	1	0.06%
12 – 13%	1	0.06%
9 – 10%	3	0.19%
8 – 9%	3	0.19%
7 – 8%	2	0.13%
6 – 7%	6	0.39%
5 – 6%	6	0.39%
4 – 5%	21	1.35%
3 – 4%	38	2.45%
2 – 3%	78	5.03%
1 – 2%	131	8.45%
0 – 1%	194	12.51%
0%	586	37.78%
0 – -1%	221	14.25%
-1 – -2%	109	7.03%
-2 – -3%	72	4.64%
-3 – -4%	39	2.51%
-4 – -5%	21	1.35%
-5 – -6%	4	0.26%
-6 – -7%	5	0.32%
-7 – -8%	5	0.32%
-8 – -9%	2	0.13%
-9 – -10%	1	0.06%
-11 – -12%	1	0.06%

Table 3. One-day performance when CVR opened 5% higher than previous close

In the past 1,551 trading days, CVR opened more than 5% higher than the previous day's closing price 20 times. Of these days, 10.0% (2 days) had closing prices above the opening price, and 60.0% (12 days) had closing prices below the opening price.

Closing - Open (%)	Number of Days	% of Total Sessions
1 – 2%	2	10.00%
0%	6	30.00%
0 – -1%	1	5.00%
-1 – -2%	2	10.00%
-3 – -4%	4	20.00%
-6 – -7%	1	5.00%
-7 – -8%	2	10.00%
-8 – -9%	2	10.00%

Table 4. Closing vs. open when CVR opened 4–5% higher

On 14 days, CVR opened 4–5% higher than the previous day's closing price. Of these days, 14.3% (2 days) had closing prices above the opening price, and 50.0% (7 days) had closing prices below the opening price.

Closing - Open (%)	Number of Days	% of Total Sessions
2 – 3%	1	7.14%
0 – 1%	1	7.14%
0%	5	35.71%
-1 – -2%	1	7.14%
-2 – -3%	1	7.14%
-3 – -4%	2	14.29%
-4 – -5%	1	7.14%
-5 – -6%	1	7.14%
-9 – -10%	1	7.14%

Table 5. Closing vs. open when CVR open 3 – 4% higher

51 times CVR opened 3 – 4% higher than the previous day's closing price. Among these days, 25.5% (13 days) closed above the opening price, 60.8% (31 days) closed below the opening price.

Closing - Open (%)	Number of Days	% of Total Sessions
9 – 10%	1	1.96%
4 – 5%	2	3.92%
2 – 3%	1	1.96%
1 – 2%	2	3.92%
0 – 1%	7	13.73%
0%	7	13.73%
0 – -1%	6	11.76%
-1 – -2%	3	5.88%
-2 – -3%	11	21.57%
-3 – -4%	4	7.84%
-4 – -5%	3	5.88%
-5 – -6%	1	1.96%
-6 – -7%	3	5.88%

Table 6. Closing vs. open when CVR open 2 – 3% higher

71 times CVR opened 2 – 3% higher than the previous day's closing price. Among these days, 31.0% (22 days) closed above the opening price, 56.3% (40 days) closed below the opening price.

Closing - Open (%)	Number of Days	% of Total Sessions
5 – 6%	2	2.82%
4 – 5%	1	1.41%
3 – 4%	2	2.82%
2 – 3%	2	2.82%
1 – 2%	6	8.45%
0 – 1%	9	12.68%
0%	9	12.68%
0 – -1%	10	14.08%
-1 – -2%	6	8.45%
-2 – -3%	18	25.35%
-3 – -4%	4	5.63%
-4 – -5%	2	2.82%

Table 7. Closing vs. open when CVR open 1 – 2% higher

171 times CVR opened 1 – 2% higher than the previous day's closing price. Among these days, 28.7% (49 days) closed above the opening price, 51.5% (88 days) closed below the opening price.

Closing - Open (%)	Number of Days	% of Total Sessions
9 – 10%	2	1.17%
6 – 7%	1	0.58%
4 – 5%	1	0.58%
2 – 3%	7	4.09%
1 – 2%	12	7.02%
0 – 1%	26	15.20%
0%	34	19.88%
0 – -1%	39	22.81%
-1 – -2%	33	19.30%
-2 – -3%	7	4.09%
-3 – -4%	5	2.92%
-4 – -5%	4	2.34%

Table 8. Periods when CVR moved 15% or more

In this table, we track the price movements in the 20 days after CVR had a one-day price change of at least 15%.

Date	Price Change	Price Change after 15% Move
Days after:		1	4	7	10	13	16	19

Table 9. Periods when CVR moved 10% or more

In this table, we track the price movements in the 20 days after CVR had a one-day price change of at least 10%.

Date	Price Change	Price Change after 10% Move
Days after:		1	4	7	10	13	16	19
20200603	13.3%	3.3	4.4	-4.6	-8.5	-12.1	-9.4	-9.4
20200326	12.4%	-10.4	-11.2	-7.6	-8.7	-8.8	-14.7	-9.5
20200316	11.8%	-3.7	-17.9	-17.4	-16.8	-18.4	-12.3	-15.3
20200504	10.7%	2.3	-8.2	-13.7	-10.9	-12.2	-10.4	-12.6
20200406	10.6%	2.3	-1.2	-2.5	-7.6	-2.1	-1.3	-3.6
20200327	-10.3%	.0	-2.0	5.4	1.8	.5	-4.8	.9
20200323	-10.5%	3.6	13.3	12.2	16.8	15.4	15.4	7.9
20190122	-12.5%	-1.7	1.8	2.5	3.7	2.2	5.3	2.5

Table 9a. CVR average price changes following a 10% up day

Of the 1,551 trading days from 2015 to 2020, there were 5 days in which CVR was up more than 10%. This table shows the average price changes over the 5 days.

Average Type	Average Price Change
Days after:	1	4	7	10	13	16	19
Avg for Change ≥ 10%	-1.2	-6.8	-9.2	-10.5	-10.7	-9.6	-10.1

Table 9b. CVR average price changes following a 10% down day

Of the 1,551 trading days from 2015 to 2020, there were 3 days in which CVR was down more than -10%. This table shows the average price changes over the 3 days.

Average Type	Average Price Change
Days after:	1	4	7	10	13	16	19
Avg for Change ≥ -10%	.6	4.4	6.7	7.5	6.0	5.3	3.8

Table 10. Periods when CVR moved 5% or more

In this table, we track the price movements in the 20 days after CVR had a one-day price change of at least 5%.

Date	Price Change	Price Change after 5% Move
Days after:		1	4	7	10	13	16	19
20200603	13.3%	3.3	4.4	-4.6	-8.5	-12.1	-9.4	-9.4
20200326	12.4%	-10.4	-11.2	-7.6	-8.7	-8.8	-14.7	-9.5
20200316	11.8%	-3.7	-17.9	-17.4	-16.8	-18.4	-12.3	-15.3
20200504	10.7%	2.3	-8.2	-13.7	-10.9	-12.2	-10.4	-12.6
20200406	10.6%	2.3	-1.2	-2.5	-7.6	-2.1	-1.3	-3.6
20150107	8.6%	-.4	-3.9	-6.0	-6.4	-1.3	1.3	1.8
20200325	8.5%	12.4	4.7	-6.1	2.6	3.7	-4.9	-4.1
20200609	8.3%	-8.6	-8.6	-12.4	-15.8	-13.3	-13.3	-9.9
20161117	8.1%	-.0	2.6	5.6	3.9	14.3	6.1	12.2
20170824	8%	.0	-10.6	-20.0	-12.1	-7.9	-8.2	-4.9
20200429	8%	-4.1	2.4	-8.1	-13.6	-10.7	-12.1	-10.3
20150827	7.7%	-.1	-4.9	-5.0	-6.0	-9.2	-6.0	-10.3
20151224	7.6%	.0	-7.8	-2.9	-7.4	-2.2	-4.9	-7.6
20170906	7.2%	-1.3	3.4	3.1	6.8	.9	6.8	4.4
20161110	7.1%	-2.3	-2.9	3.9	7.8	6.9	7.8	20.2
20161206	6.9%	.1	-.7	-3.6	2.0	1.3	1.6	8.3
20161212	6.8%	-5.1	-.8	3.1	2.0	5.4	9.1	7.9
20161228	6.6%	3.0	6.6	5.4	7.2	10.3	11.7	13.0
20200511	6.6%	-7.4	-11.9	-10.3	-8.5	-5.2	-7.8	.1
20200925	6.5%	-3.4	-1.5	-4.3	-5.7	-5.5	-4.7	-4.0
20170922	6.4%	-6.4	-.9	-3.1	-.9	-.8	2.7	4.3
20160808	6.3%	.0	-2.2	.7	-1.0	-2.7	-5.8	-3.8
20200422	6%	.0	.8	-1.6	3.7	6.7	-6.0	-5.7
20170109	5.9%	-1.2	-1.2	-1.0	2.2	1.9	10.4	4.7
20170127	5.8%	3.7	-3.3	-.2	-6.5	-14.8	-15.5	-18.0
20151204	5.7%	.0	-8.3	-10.9	-7.9	-8.2	-7.1	-8.4
20150810	5.5%	-1.3	.5	-2.0	1.1	6.8	3.8	1.5
20200817	5.3%	.0	-7.9	-2.1	-5.0	-7.9	-2.9	-3.9
20150722	5.2%	-.9	-3.7	-2.5	-6.9	-.9	-.4	-3.0
20170228	5.2%	-7.1	-9.1	-4.0	-7.5	-5.1	-4.0	-9.0
20190620	5.1%	-2.0	-6.4	-7.3	-8.2	-11.4	-10.2	-8.1
20200930	5.1%	.0	-2.8	-4.2	-4.0	-3.2	-2.5	-2.8
20150120	5%	-5.1	.0	2.6	3.1	5.3	11.5	11.5
20200601	5%	-1.7	6.7	6.3	6.3	1.9	-2.0	.9
20200918	5%	-5.2	-3.5	-3.8	1.2	-1.6	-4.0	-2.9
20161213	-5%	4.2	7.3	8.0	1.1	15.0	19.4	20.4
20150121	-5.1%	.9	6.4	8.2	10.8	13.5	17.2	9.0
20150727	-5.1%	.2	1.4	-3.1	3.0	3.6	.9	.9
20200228	-5.1%	2.6	1.5	.6	-5.3	-5.0	-22.3	-1.7
20200821	-5.1%	2.5	6.5	3.5	.5	5.4	2.2	7.3
20150921	-5.2%	.7	.9	-1.2	-.0	2.9	2.0	6.5
20170921	-5.2%	6.5	5.5	4.2	3.2	3.9	9.2	11.1
20200921	-5.2%	-.6	8.5	6.8	3.8	1.4	2.6	5.6
20180305	-5.4%	-.6	-1.6	1.1	4.5	2.4	-.7	.2
20200203	-5.4%	-.9	2.4	2.0	.0	-.6	-1.5	-7.4
20150106	-5.5%	8.7	8.6	4.9	7.2	7.7	10.2	8.2
20170823	-5.6%	8.1	-6.2	-13.5	-3.7	-.5	-4.2	2.8
20150826	-5.7%	7.8	4.8	2.4	4.4	-2.1	-2.1	-3.3
20170829	-5.7%	3.0	-7.8	1.3	6.1	5.8	9.6	3.5
20200501	-5.8%	10.8	5.4	.4	-4.4	-2.7	-.7	2.8
20200529	-5.8%	5.0	20.8	22.2	11.7	7.0	2.9	6.0
20161227	-5.9%	6.7	13.8	13.6	17.7	17.7	17.9	21.8
20151228	-6%	-4.1	-1.4	-1.7	6.0	1.1	1.2	-.5
20161209	-6%	6.9	3.8	9.8	9.0	9.4	16.6	16.4
20200416	-6%	.9	7.0	3.9	11.7	19.3	7.0	.6
20151203	-6.1%	5.8	-.9	-6.3	-1.3	.3	4.5	-3.6
20151208	-6.2%	.0	-5.4	-.4	1.2	5.4	-2.8	2.4
20170925	-6.3%	3.3	4.2	1.0	4.2	5.3	11.5	3.9
20200714	-6.3%	.0	.5	1.4	2.4	2.0	.0	2.4
20170202	-6.8%	.4	-1.7	-6.8	-12.7	-16.3	-11.4	-10.1
20171020	-6.8%	1.7	1.3	-1.9	-2.9	-1.5	-2.1	-2.7
20200318	-6.8%	-4.0	-15.2	-7.2	-8.1	-4.4	-5.5	-5.6
20200506	-6.9%	.0	-4.8	-9.4	-7.7	-5.9	-2.5	-5.2
20200312	-7%	1.3	1.6	-16.9	5.1	-2.1	-12.2	-4.1
20170301	-7.1%	-2.4	.6	.8	-1.1	.3	3.4	-2.6
20150217	-7.2%	4.2	5.1	7.4	11.9	10.6	10.1	8.8
20170831	-7.2%	-3.5	7.5	11.1	6.9	14.8	15.8	14.8
20200605	-7.2%	.6	-.4	-4.5	-7.0	-9.1	-5.5	-5.5
20200512	-7.4%	-4.8	-1.6	-3.1	-1.1	-3.5	12.9	8.8
20150626	-7.6%	.7	-1.0	-3.6	-4.7	-5.0	-5.4	-4.3
20170828	-7.9%	-5.8	-13.1	-3.3	.0	-3.8	3.3	4.2
20200610	-8.6%	.0	-4.2	-6.6	-8.7	-5.1	-5.1	-3.6
20200327	-10.3%	.0	-2.0	5.4	1.8	.5	-4.8	.9
20200323	-10.5%	3.6	13.3	12.2	16.8	15.4	15.4	7.9
20190122	-12.5%	-1.7	1.8	2.5	3.7	2.2	5.3	2.5

Table 10a. CVR average price changes following a 5% up day

Of the 1,551 trading days from 2015 to 2020, there were 35 days in which CVR was up more than 5%. This table shows the average price changes over the 35 days.

Average Type	Average Price Change
Days after:	1	4	7	10	13	16	19
Avg for Change ≥ 5%	-1.5	-3.1	-3.9	-3.6	-2.9	-2.8	-2.2

Table 10b. CVR average price changes following a 5% down day

Of the 1,551 trading days from 2015 to 2020, there were 40 days in which CVR was down more than -5%. This table shows the average price changes over the 40 days.

Average Type	Average Price Change
Days after:	1	4	7	10	13	16	19
Avg for Change ≥ -5%	1.7	1.8	1.1	2.1	2.6	2.8	3.0

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Also see: VIX price movement study.