Statistics of Price Movements of Topbuild Corp (BLD)

The price movements of Topbuild Corp (ticker BLD) are summarized in five ways:

• Table 1. Statistics of daily price changes using the closing prices
• Table 2. Statistics of daily price changes using the closing and opening prices
• Table 3 – 7. Statistics of daily price changes when BLD opened with an increase of 1%, 2%, 3%, 4%, or more than 5%
• Table 8 – 10. Statistics of stock price changes in the 20 days after BLD had a big price move
• Table 11. Statistics of daily price changes in the 20 days after BLD moved 5% with twice the 30-day average volume

The statistics are calculated using BLD's price data across 1,420 trading days from 2015 to 2020.

Table 1. Statistics of BLD one-day price changes

In this table, the one-day price change is calculated using the closing price and the previous day's closing price.

In the past 1,420 trading days, 51.3% of the time (728 days), BLD closed above the previous day's closing price. 44.9% of the time (637 days), it closed below the previous day's closing price. 3.8% of the time (54 days), it did not change.

Also see: VIX price movement study.

BLD Price Change (%)	Number of Days	% of Total Sessions
16 – 17%	1	0.07%
12 – 13%	2	0.14%
11 – 12%	2	0.14%
10 – 11%	2	0.14%
9 – 10%	2	0.14%
8 – 9%	6	0.42%
7 – 8%	4	0.28%
6 – 7%	14	0.99%
5 – 6%	22	1.55%
4 – 5%	25	1.76%
3 – 4%	53	3.74%
2 – 3%	112	7.89%
1 – 2%	173	12.19%
0 – 1%	310	21.85%
0%	54	3.81%
0 – -1%	280	19.73%
-1 – -2%	160	11.28%
-2 – -3%	91	6.41%
-3 – -4%	47	3.31%
-4 – -5%	25	1.76%
-5 – -6%	15	1.06%
-6 – -7%	6	0.42%
-7 – -8%	3	0.21%
-8 – -9%	3	0.21%
-9 – -10%	3	0.21%
-12 – -13%	2	0.14%
-13 – -14%	1	0.07%
-25 – -26%	1	0.07%

Table 2. Statistics of BLD: Closing vs. Open

In this table, instead of using the closing price of the previous day, the opening price is used to calculate the one-day price change of BLD.

49.1% of the time (697 days), BLD closed above the opening price. 47.3% of the time (672 days), it closed below the opening price. 3.6% of the time (51 days), it closed where it started.

Closing - Open (%)	Number of Days	% of Total Sessions
14 – 15%	1	0.07%
13 – 14%	1	0.07%
9 – 10%	1	0.07%
8 – 9%	1	0.07%
7 – 8%	6	0.42%
6 – 7%	5	0.35%
5 – 6%	13	0.92%
4 – 5%	28	1.97%
3 – 4%	63	4.44%
2 – 3%	89	6.27%
1 – 2%	184	12.96%
0 – 1%	305	21.48%
0%	51	3.59%
0 – -1%	313	22.04%
-1 – -2%	158	11.13%
-2 – -3%	102	7.18%
-3 – -4%	45	3.17%
-4 – -5%	30	2.11%
-5 – -6%	9	0.63%
-6 – -7%	9	0.63%
-7 – -8%	3	0.21%
-8 – -9%	1	0.07%
-15 – -16%	1	0.07%
-16 – -17%	1	0.07%

Table 3. One-day performance when BLD opened 5% higher than previous close

In the past 1,420 trading days, BLD opened more than 5% higher than the previous day's closing price 13 times. Of these days, 53.8% (7 days) had closing prices above the opening price, and 46.2% (6 days) had closing prices below the opening price.

Closing - Open (%)	Number of Days	% of Total Sessions
6 – 7%	1	7.69%
3 – 4%	2	15.38%
2 – 3%	2	15.38%
1 – 2%	1	7.69%
0 – 1%	1	7.69%
-1 – -2%	1	7.69%
-4 – -5%	3	23.08%
-6 – -7%	1	7.69%
-15 – -16%	1	7.69%

Table 4. Closing vs. open when BLD opened 4–5% higher

On 5 days, BLD opened 4–5% higher than the previous day's closing price. Of these days, 60.0% (3 days) had closing prices above the opening price, and 40.0% (2 days) had closing prices below the opening price.

Closing - Open (%)	Number of Days	% of Total Sessions
3 – 4%	1	20.00%
0 – 1%	2	40.00%
-2 – -3%	1	20.00%
-4 – -5%	1	20.00%

Table 5. Closing vs. open when BLD open 3 – 4% higher

11 times BLD opened 3 – 4% higher than the previous day's closing price. Among these days, 45.5% (5 days) closed above the opening price, 54.5% (6 days) closed below the opening price.

Closing - Open (%)	Number of Days	% of Total Sessions
7 – 8%	1	9.09%
4 – 5%	2	18.18%
3 – 4%	1	9.09%
1 – 2%	1	9.09%
0 – -1%	3	27.27%
-2 – -3%	3	27.27%

Table 6. Closing vs. open when BLD open 2 – 3% higher

20 times BLD opened 2 – 3% higher than the previous day's closing price. Among these days, 65.0% (13 days) closed above the opening price, 35.0% (7 days) closed below the opening price.

Closing - Open (%)	Number of Days	% of Total Sessions
13 – 14%	1	5.00%
5 – 6%	1	5.00%
4 – 5%	1	5.00%
3 – 4%	2	10.00%
2 – 3%	7	35.00%
0 – 1%	1	5.00%
0 – -1%	2	10.00%
-1 – -2%	3	15.00%
-2 – -3%	1	5.00%
-3 – -4%	1	5.00%

Table 7. Closing vs. open when BLD open 1 – 2% higher

85 times BLD opened 1 – 2% higher than the previous day's closing price. Among these days, 49.4% (42 days) closed above the opening price, 50.6% (43 days) closed below the opening price.

Closing - Open (%)	Number of Days	% of Total Sessions
9 – 10%	1	1.18%
7 – 8%	2	2.35%
6 – 7%	1	1.18%
5 – 6%	1	1.18%
4 – 5%	5	5.88%
3 – 4%	3	3.53%
2 – 3%	3	3.53%
1 – 2%	13	15.29%
0 – 1%	13	15.29%
0 – -1%	13	15.29%
-1 – -2%	11	12.94%
-2 – -3%	10	11.76%
-3 – -4%	3	3.53%
-4 – -5%	2	2.35%
-5 – -6%	2	2.35%
-6 – -7%	1	1.18%
-7 – -8%	1	1.18%

Table 8. Periods when BLD moved 15% or more

In this table, we track the price movements in the 20 days after BLD had a one-day price change of at least 15%.

Date	Price Change	Price Change after 15% Move
Days after:		1	4	7	10	13	16	19
20200406	16.5%	3.3	17.6	-.4	6.4	7.2	32.1	25.8
20200316	-25.6%	7.7	12.0	28.7	26.1	10.2	23.8	40.8

Table 8a. BLD average price changes following a 15% up day

Of the 1,420 trading days from 2015 to 2020, there were 1 days in which BLD was up more than 15%. This table shows the average price changes over the 1 days.

Average Type	Average Price Change
Days after:	1	4	7	10	13	16	19
Avg for Change ≥ 15%	3.3	17.6	-.4	6.4	7.2	32.1	25.8

Table 8b. BLD average price changes following a 15% down day

Of the 1,420 trading days from 2015 to 2020, there were 1 days in which BLD was down more than -15%. This table shows the average price changes over the 1 days.

Average Type	Average Price Change
Days after:	1	4	7	10	13	16	19
Avg for Change ≥ -15%	7.7	12.0	28.7	26.1	10.2	23.8	40.8

Table 9. Periods when BLD moved 10% or more

In this table, we track the price movements in the 20 days after BLD had a one-day price change of at least 10%.

Date	Price Change	Price Change after 10% Move
Days after:		1	4	7	10	13	16	19
20200406	16.5%	3.3	17.6	-.4	6.4	7.2	32.1	25.8
20200324	12.9%	2.7	.6	-12.1	-1.3	12.3	-4.8	1.6
20200417	12%	-3.4	-2.6	20.0	14.2	24.0	20.1	11.9
20200615	11.4%	-.3	-4.6	-5.2	-12.6	-12.6	-6.6	-11.5
20200518	11%	-2.9	10.1	24.4	18.3	21.1	27.2	14.3
20151103	10.6%	.8	-4.9	-7.0	-7.4	-8.6	.2	-1.1
20200505	10.1%	-1.4	-4.5	-11.0	-.7	12.6	27.2	21.0
20200401	-12%	3.4	16.2	32.2	12.0	19.6	20.5	48.5
20200312	-12.5%	5.4	-20.7	-13.1	10.3	-5.1	-19.5	3.3
20200309	-13.5%	2.4	-13.8	-35.1	-28.9	-9.8	-22.3	-34.1
20200316	-25.6%	7.7	12.0	28.7	26.1	10.2	23.8	40.8

Table 9a. BLD average price changes following a 10% up day

Of the 1,420 trading days from 2015 to 2020, there were 7 days in which BLD was up more than 10%. This table shows the average price changes over the 7 days.

Average Type	Average Price Change
Days after:	1	4	7	10	13	16	19
Avg for Change ≥ 10%	-.2	1.7	1.2	2.4	8.0	13.6	8.9

Table 9b. BLD average price changes following a 10% down day

Of the 1,420 trading days from 2015 to 2020, there were 4 days in which BLD was down more than -10%. This table shows the average price changes over the 4 days.

Average Type	Average Price Change
Days after:	1	4	7	10	13	16	19
Avg for Change ≥ -10%	4.7	-1.6	3.2	4.9	3.7	.6	14.6

Table 10. Periods when BLD moved 5% or more

In this table, we track the price movements in the 20 days after BLD had a one-day price change of at least 5%.

Date	Price Change	Price Change after 5% Move
Days after:		1	4	7	10	13	16	19
20200406	16.5%	3.3	17.6	-.4	6.4	7.2	32.1	25.8
20200324	12.9%	2.7	.6	-12.1	-1.3	12.3	-4.8	1.6
20200417	12%	-3.4	-2.6	20.0	14.2	24.0	20.1	11.9
20200615	11.4%	-.3	-4.6	-5.2	-12.6	-12.6	-6.6	-11.5
20200518	11%	-2.9	10.1	24.4	18.3	21.1	27.2	14.3
20151103	10.6%	.8	-4.9	-7.0	-7.4	-8.6	.2	-1.1
20200505	10.1%	-1.4	-4.5	-11.0	-.7	12.6	27.2	21.0
20200326	9.3%	-5.2	-24.3	-14.9	.0	-6.9	-6.3	-9.9
20201104	9%	3.2	-4.1	-2.4	5.5	10.0	3.4	1.1
20190507	8.9%	-1.1	5.2	4.1	1.0	-.8	-4.1	-.5
20200428	8.6%	8.2	-4.8	4.9	-6.0	-3.4	9.2	18.1
20200304	8.3%	-4.8	-18.8	-31.6	-48.5	-43.6	-28.4	-38.4
20200429	8.2%	-8.0	-3.1	-2.3	-15.0	-.9	4.2	17.1
20181101	8.1%	.0	8.1	2.5	-3.4	-1.8	1.7	7.0
20171218	8%	-3.8	-.4	1.6	1.9	2.4	3.6	3.5
20200317	7.7%	-6.0	3.0	30.7	12.5	-4.6	22.5	19.5
20191031	7.6%	6.1	5.1	2.3	5.4	5.8	5.0	8.0
20200526	7.3%	5.2	.1	2.5	7.6	-3.2	6.2	3.5
20200605	7.3%	-5.8	-12.9	-2.3	-6.6	-7.1	-14.4	-14.4
20150710	6.8%	2.7	1.9	8.1	5.3	1.8	1.6	-.0
20200319	6.7%	3.6	19.0	16.6	1.9	14.5	30.3	10.3
20200409	6.7%	.0	-15.3	-9.6	-8.8	12.3	7.0	16.1
20200727	6.7%	-4.8	-1.1	5.7	9.2	14.6	16.4	18.0
20200901	6.7%	-1.1	-9.2	-4.8	.6	-3.9	-3.7	1.9
20160122	6.5%	-3.8	-3.8	-4.1	-3.4	-10.6	-11.5	-9.3
20180302	6.5%	2.5	3.9	10.5	12.9	12.1	8.3	5.6
20200408	6.5%	6.8	-.7	-.0	-3.8	10.4	19.5	25.8
20200427	6.5%	8.6	3.4	12.3	8.8	1.3	13.1	28.2
20200424	6.4%	6.5	15.3	21.3	22.4	6.4	24.1	30.5
20200916	6.3%	-2.3	-2.0	-4.0	3.4	7.7	11.2	13.8
20151005	6.2%	-2.5	-1.4	-9.4	-9.0	-5.8	-12.5	-14.5
20191101	6.1%	-1.8	-4.1	-2.7	-2.7	.0	-.3	1.8
20150717	6%	1.1	-1.6	-3.6	-7.6	-7.7	-6.9	-3.4
20201110	5.9%	1.2	6.2	10.7	11.0	9.2	1.3	1.4
20180807	5.8%	-5.9	-9.5	-8.1	-11.8	-14.1	-18.9	-22.4
20200729	5.8%	.0	.1	5.7	10.5	16.5	15.6	15.0
20200928	5.8%	-.2	7.2	7.6	13.9	12.5	8.5	6.9
20181030	5.7%	.3	8.7	16.8	10.1	6.7	11.4	10.4
20190104	5.7%	1.2	5.2	-.0	.7	1.6	2.1	9.7
20190801	5.7%	4.3	6.1	4.2	4.7	7.2	3.4	5.9
20190131	5.6%	.7	-.0	1.0	7.0	9.6	10.0	13.0
20200706	5.6%	-3.8	-.7	4.6	5.9	5.6	7.5	11.8
20170804	5.5%	1.0	4.5	5.1	2.0	-.6	.0	7.0
20190212	5.5%	-.4	3.2	2.7	5.9	6.7	8.9	15.3
20160222	5.4%	-.6	2.0	8.4	8.7	8.4	7.5	11.6
20160301	5.4%	.2	.5	.2	-.6	3.2	1.6	2.4
20170227	5.4%	2.9	7.7	6.9	10.0	15.8	11.7	12.1
20181106	5.3%	2.4	-2.9	-8.5	-7.1	-3.7	1.3	-3.1
20200313	5.3%	-25.7	-19.6	-6.8	-.8	-20.8	-11.0	4.7
20200527	5.2%	-6.2	-3.3	4.6	.8	2.5	-2.1	2.0
20170301	5.1%	-.7	-.4	.7	4.3	5.1	3.5	5.2
20200708	5.1%	-2.5	-1.1	5.5	4.7	11.6	12.4	12.5
20150817	5%	1.4	.3	-3.9	-.5	4.5	6.7	9.3
20161109	5%	4.7	10.8	13.3	13.7	13.1	12.3	15.0
20170509	5%	-2.7	-2.9	-4.9	-3.1	.1	-.3	-2.3
20180813	-5%	1.7	1.8	-3.2	-4.7	-14.6	-14.6	-15.5
20200228	-5%	4.7	9.6	-6.5	-21.2	-40.7	-35.0	-17.6
20201026	-5%	-2.6	-10.0	.6	-9.0	-4.3	6.5	7.8
20200327	-5.1%	-5.5	-17.5	-7.3	5.5	-10.6	-4.6	-3.8
20160208	-5.3%	-1.7	-3.2	1.0	7.3	12.6	16.1	17.1
20180208	-5.3%	2.6	3.5	8.5	5.9	5.0	5.5	11.0
20200511	-5.3%	-6.1	-3.5	9.1	17.9	25.0	28.8	39.4
20180926	-5.4%	-1.2	-5.4	-8.3	-10.0	-13.5	-22.6	-21.4
20150921	-5.5%	-4.0	-1.9	-5.6	.2	-.2	-4.6	-10.8
20200330	-5.5%	-3.9	-18.5	4.6	2.1	-6.7	.1	8.4
20200225	-5.6%	-4.7	-7.3	-2.9	-17.2	-30.2	-47.5	-42.5
20200903	-5.6%	-3.3	1.3	1.4	6.0	1.0	9.6	15.5
20200608	-5.7%	3.8	-6.7	2.4	-.2	-9.1	-7.5	-4.0
20180808	-5.9%	3.4	-2.2	-2.1	-6.9	-8.4	-17.8	-17.9
20200318	-5.9%	6.7	23.7	31.7	5.2	18.2	39.0	29.3
20160107	-6%	-2.4	-6.0	-9.0	-8.0	-1.5	-2.1	-3.1
20200512	-6%	-2.2	14.1	20.0	34.8	30.4	43.6	39.8
20200528	-6.1%	-2.1	7.9	5.0	-2.9	8.9	4.2	3.6
20181204	-6.6%	.0	-.1	-1.5	-4.9	-6.0	-6.1	-4.6
20200403	-6.6%	16.5	37.0	27.5	28.3	23.4	41.7	53.3
20180820	-6.8%	2.8	-.0	-5.5	-9.6	-9.9	-7.2	-7.9
20160804	-7.4%	-.4	-1.5	-2.4	-3.6	-2.3	-3.2	-2.8
20200625	-7.8%	-4.4	-.1	1.6	4.8	10.4	11.8	11.5
20200430	-7.9%	-4.4	3.8	.5	-6.4	4.5	18.5	33.9
20200413	-8.5%	1.8	2.4	-1.4	13.1	22.4	28.8	30.0
20200311	-8.6%	-12.5	-26.2	-23.3	-11.8	-13.6	-24.5	-15.2
20200415	-8.9%	-1.4	5.9	14.6	43.5	26.2	39.1	24.7
20201109	-9.1%	6.0	7.9	16.5	21.6	14.3	11.7	5.6
20200611	-9.5%	.9	10.7	7.9	-1.7	.0	3.8	2.5
20181018	-9.8%	-2.4	-1.8	-4.6	9.4	15.6	13.8	10.3
20200401	-12%	3.4	16.2	32.2	12.0	19.6	20.5	48.5
20200312	-12.5%	5.4	-20.7	-13.1	10.3	-5.1	-19.5	3.3
20200309	-13.5%	2.4	-13.8	-35.1	-28.9	-9.8	-22.3	-34.1
20200316	-25.6%	7.7	12.0	28.7	26.1	10.2	23.8	40.8

Table 10a. BLD average price changes following a 5% up day

Of the 1,420 trading days from 2015 to 2020, there were 55 days in which BLD was up more than 5%. This table shows the average price changes over the 55 days.

Average Type	Average Price Change
Days after:	1	4	7	10	13	16	19
Avg for Change ≥ 5%	-.5	-.2	1.9	1.6	2.8	5.2	6.3

Table 10b. BLD average price changes following a 5% down day

Of the 1,420 trading days from 2015 to 2020, there were 34 days in which BLD was down more than -5%. This table shows the average price changes over the 34 days.

Average Type	Average Price Change
Days after:	1	4	7	10	13	16	19
Avg for Change ≥ -5%	.1	.3	2.4	3.2	1.8	3.8	6.9

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Also see: VIX price movement study.